The Conservatives have moved ahead of Reform UK in a new YouGov Westminster voting intention poll, while Labour's lead over the Conservatives has narrowed to a single percentage point.
The survey, conducted for The Times and Sky News on 11–12 October 2026, puts Labour on 24%, the Conservatives on 23% and Reform UK on 21%. The Liberal Democrats are on 12% and the Greens on 11%.
Latest Westminster voting intention
- Labour: 24% (down three points)
- Conservatives: 23% (up three points)
- Reform UK: 21% (down one point)
- Liberal Democrats: 12% (up one point)
- Green Party: 11% (unchanged)
The changes are measured against YouGov's previous survey, conducted on 4–5 October, which recorded Labour at 27%, Reform UK at 22% and the Conservatives at 20%.
Conservatives move into second place
The Conservatives' 23% share is their highest in YouGov's Westminster voting intention tracker since it restarted in January 2025. The rise follows the party's annual conference, although the timing alone does not establish why individual respondents changed their preferences.
Reform UK's 21% is its joint-lowest reading on that tracker during the current parliament. In this particular survey, the party is two points behind the Conservatives and three behind Labour.
Labour's lead narrows
Labour remains numerically ahead on 24%, but its lead over the Conservatives has fallen from seven points in the previous YouGov poll to one point. The figures underline how closely grouped the three parties are in this survey.
However, the differences between Labour, the Conservatives and Reform UK are within the survey's margin of error. The poll does not establish that any party has a statistically significant lead over the others, nor does a single voting intention poll predict the outcome of a general election.
How the poll was conducted
YouGov surveyed 2,393 adults aged 18 and over living in Great Britain online between 11 and 12 October 2026. The poll was commissioned by The Times and Sky News and published on 13 October.
Voting intention surveys measure stated preferences at the time of fieldwork. Different pollsters and subsequent surveys may report different results.