Labour

NEW YOUGOV POLL — Labour opens five-point lead over Reform as Conservatives remain third

Labour has opened a five-point lead over Reform UK in the latest YouGov poll for The Times, with Labour on 27%, Reform on 22% and the Conservatives remaining third on 20%.

By Charlotte Mercer • Published 6 October 2026 at 17:05 • 3 min read
Share article X Facebook LinkedIn WhatsApp Email

Labour has opened up a five-point lead over Reform UK in the latest YouGov voting-intention poll, with the Conservatives remaining in third place.

The YouGov survey for The Times puts Labour on 27%, up three percentage points from the previous week, while Reform UK is on 22%, down three points.

The Conservatives are third on 20%, with the Liberal Democrats and Greens both on 11%.

The Times reports that the result represents Labour's largest lead in YouGov's Westminster voting-intention polling since January 2025, when the pollster restarted its regular series following the 2024 General Election.

Latest YouGov voting intention

  1. Labour: 27% — up three points;
  2. Reform UK: 22% — down three points;
  3. Conservatives: 20%;
  4. Liberal Democrats: 11%; and
  5. Greens: 11%.

The figures represent national voting intention at the time the survey was conducted. They are not a forecast of the next General Election and should not be translated directly into numbers of parliamentary seats.

Labour increases support after Burnham conference

The poll was conducted following Andy Burnham's first Labour Party Conference as Prime Minister and party leader.

At the conference Burnham set out a series of longer-term political proposals, including electoral reform, reconsidering Britain's relationship with the European Union and replacing the state pension triple lock with a different mechanism to help fund a national care service.

The new voting-intention figures show Labour three points higher than the previous YouGov survey and Reform three points lower.

Polling cannot by itself establish that the conference or any individual policy caused those movements, and changes between individual surveys can also reflect normal sampling variation.

Labour improves retention of its 2024 voters

The poll also suggests Labour has improved its retention of people who supported the party at the 2024 General Election.

According to The Times, 61% of Labour's 2024 voters now say they would vote Labour again if a General Election were held tomorrow.

That compares with 42% recorded in May 2026.

The improvement comes after a period in which Labour had lost significant support to other parties.

Conservatives remain in third place

Kemi Badenoch's Conservatives remain behind both Labour and Reform UK in the latest YouGov voting-intention figures.

The poll comes during the Conservative Party Conference in Birmingham, where Badenoch and her shadow cabinet have announced a series of new policies covering defence, housing, welfare, taxation and deregulation.

Among the announcements is the proposed £10 billion Britannia Shield missile-and-drone defence programme and plans which the Conservatives claim could reduce the cost associated with building new homes by up to £50,000.

The latest poll therefore largely predates any potential effect of the full Conservative conference programme on public opinion.

Separate YouGov polling shows majority would vote to rejoin EU

Separate YouGov polling for The Times also examined attitudes towards Britain's relationship with the European Union following Burnham's comments about reconsidering the issue.

If another referendum were held, 52% said they would vote for the UK to rejoin the European Union, while 27% said they would vote to remain outside.

However, there was also strong support for requiring another referendum before Britain could rejoin.

64% said a decision to rejoin the EU should be put to another public vote, compared with 23% who thought a government should be able to take Britain back into the EU without another referendum.

The polling does not mean that another EU referendum has been announced. Burnham has opened the door to reconsidering Britain's relationship with the EU, but the Government has not committed the UK to rejoining the bloc.

One poll — not an election prediction

Although the five-point Labour lead represents a notable movement in YouGov's polling series, it remains a single opinion poll.

Voting intention can change substantially before a General Election, and national vote shares cannot be converted reliably into constituency results without additional modelling.

The figures should therefore be treated as a snapshot of public opinion rather than a prediction of the eventual election result.

Sources

  1. The Times: Labour opens up biggest poll lead since the start of last year — 5 October 2026
  2. YouGov: UK political polling
Have a different view?

Write a response.

Challenge the argument, add relevant evidence or explain how this issue affects people in practice. We welcome thoughtful, evidence-led contributions from across the political debate.

Write for Ayes To The Right
Know this MP?

Have first-hand knowledge or experience?

Have you worked with Andy Burnham, Mrs Kemi Badenoch, Nigel Farage? Do you have direct experience of this issue, their work or their recent parliamentary record?

We are interested in informed perspectives, constructive criticism and accounts that help readers understand the subject more clearly.

Write an article about this topic

Related articles